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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Google CEO is expected to meet with US President-elect Trump on December 13th, local time.Ukrainian energy facilities were attacked by large-scale air strikes. Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the 13th that Ukrainian energy facilities were attacked by Russian missiles and drones again that morning. The Russian Defense Ministry announced on the 13th that the Russian army launched a large-scale attack on the energy infrastructure to ensure the operation of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex by using long-range space-based and sea-based high-precision weapons and attack drones, which was a response to Ukraine's attack on the Russian Taganrog military airport on the 11th using the US Army tactical missile system. Zelensky said on social media that 93 missiles were fired by Russian troops and 81 were intercepted by Ukrainian air defense fire. In addition, the Russian army also launched nearly 200 attack drones into Uzbekistan. DTEK, Ukraine's largest private power company, issued a statement on the morning of the 13th, saying that many thermal power plants under the company were seriously damaged by large-scale air strikes, and no casualties have been found. It is reported that this is the 12th round of large-scale air strikes launched by the Russian army against Ukrainian energy facilities this year. (Xinhua News Agency)

It is reported that the European Central Bank is considering cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the next two meetings. According to informed sources, as the inflation rate stabilizes at the target of 2% and economic growth is sluggish, ECB officials plan to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in January, and there may be another one in March. People familiar with the matter said that as long as the economic development meets current expectations, gradually reducing the borrowing cost is the most appropriate path. They believe that cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at a time in an emergency is still an option, but this move may convey an unexpected sense of urgency. According to people familiar with the matter, officials have not yet made any decision, and every meeting will be evaluated based on all available information, even after March. They stressed that once the situation becomes clearer after Trump takes office in January, the policy inclination of the central bank may change.Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)The concept of bean curd set off the tide of research institutions to "break through" the threshold of listed companies, and the theme of artificial intelligence (AI) was once again hot in A shares. This time, bean bag concept stocks have become the "most beautiful" in the market after Kimi concept stocks and Zhipu concept stocks. With the warming of the market, the related listed companies with the concept of bean curd have also been "stepped through the threshold" by institutions. Recently, many Tik Tok bean bag concept stocks such as Zhongke Lanxun, Lexin Technology, Zhongke Chuangda and Haitian Ruisheng have been investigated by hundreds of institutions. (Securities Times)

Bitcoin fell below $100,000/piece, down 1.15% in the day.The winning bid rate of US 30-year bonds is 4.535%, which is higher than the pre-issuance transaction rate. The US Treasury continued to issue US$ 22 billion of 30-year bonds, with a winning bid rate of 4.535%. The pre-issuance transaction rate was 4.523% when the tender closed at 1 pm new york time. The proportion of primary dealers was 14.4%, which was higher than the previous one. The proportion of direct bidders was reduced to 19.1%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was increased to 66.5%. The bid multiple is 2.39 times, which is lower than the average of 2.42 times in the past six renewal transactions.Apple is about to switch to self-developed Bluetooth and Wi-Fi chips for iPhone and smart home. Apple plans to switch to domestic chips for Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connection on its devices from next year, which will gradually phase out some components currently provided by Broadcom. This chip, code-named Proxima, has been developed for several years and is now planned to be used in the first batch of iPhone and smart home devices produced in 2025. The internal chips of iPhone manufacturers will be produced by TSMC.